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翻訳と辞書　辞書検索 [ 開発暫定版 ] スポンサード リンク Cross impact analysis ： ウィキペディア英語版 Cross impact analysis Cross-impact analysis is a methodology developed by Theodore Gordon and Olaf Helmer in 1966 to help determine how relationships between events would impact resulting events and reduce uncertainty in the future.〔Gordon, Theodore Jay, (Cross Impact Method ), United Nations University Millennium Project, 1994, p 1〕 The Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) became interested in the methodology in the late 1960s and early 1970s as an analytic technique for predicting how different factors and variables would impact future decisions.〔Heuer, Richards J., Randolph H. Pherson, Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis, CQ Press, 2011, p 107〕 In the mid-1970s, futurists began to use the methodology in larger numbers as a means to predict the probability of specific events and determine how related events impacted one another.〔Gordon, Theodore Jay, (Cross Impact Method ), pp 1-2〕 By 2006, Cross Impact Analysis matured into a number of related methodologies with uses for businesses and communities as well as futurists and intelligence analysts.〔(For Learn – Cross Impact Analysis ), For Learn, Joint Research Centre, European Commission, 2006〕 ==Development== The basic principles of Cross-impact analysis date back to the late 1960s, but the original processes were relatively simple and were based on a game design.〔Gordon, Theodore Jay, (Cross Impact Method ), p 1〕 Eventually, advanced techniques, methodologies, and programs were developed to apply the principles of cross-impact analysis, and the basic method is now applied in futures think tanks, business settings, and the intelligence community. 抄文引用元・出典: フリー百科事典『 ウィキペディア（Wikipedia）』 ■ウィキペディアで「Cross impact analysis」の詳細全文を読む スポンサード リンク 翻訳と辞書 : 翻訳のためのインターネットリソース Copyright(C) kotoba.ne.jp 1997-2016. All Rights Reserved.